War game instigates US intervention in possible Taiwan Straits conflict

A recent war game scenario run by the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) is not worthy of reference, as it was designed to hype the "China threat" theory, and to suggest the US should fully arm the island of Taiwan preemptively, and instigate the US military to immediately intervene if a conflict breaks out, Chinese mainland experts said on Tuesday.  The US think tank said the simulations indicate the US, Japan and the island of Taiwan would suffer huge losses in defeating the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) if a conflict breaks out in the Taiwan Straits in 2026. From a technical point of view, the simulations are biased and set under a scenario of wishful thinking, as they underestimated the PLA's capabilities and overestimated US and Japanese forces, analysts said. If the Chinese mainland launches a reunification-by-force operation on the island of Taiwan in 2026, it would result in thousands of casualties among Chinese mainland, US, Japanese and Taiwan island forces in a likely defeat of the PLA, which will also leave the US in a crippled state, the CSIS said after running this war game 24 times, CNN reported on Monday. In the simulations, the US and Japan lost dozens of ships, hundreds of aircraft and thousands of service members, which would damage the US' global position for many years, according to the CSIS report, which also predicted losses of two US nuclear-powered aircraft carriers in most scenarios and the devastation of the island of Taiwan. The Chinese mainland would also suffer heavily, losing about 10,000 troops, 155 combat aircraft and 138 vessels, the report claimed. Such war game simulations are by no means professional, Wei Dongxu, a Beijing-based military expert, told the Global Times on Tuesday. It is impossible for the US think tank to gain access to the PLA's force deployment and equipment specifications in detail, so the data it used in the simulations are obviously biased and mere wishful thinking, Wei said. "For example, the think tank predicted the sinking of two US nuclear-powered aircraft carriers. That is too small a number," Wei said, citing the PLA's missile strike capabilities working in tandem with naval and air forces. The PLA operates DF-21D and DF-26 anti-ship ballistic missiles capable of striking moving maritime targets like aircraft carriers at hypersonic speeds against which there is no defense, observers said.

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